Technical Analysis

KAT Exploration, Inc the gold mining penny stock that has been range bound for quote some time now today had what I consider to be a possible key reversal for the stock near the .06 level.

KATX has been range bound for a while and what I am so far please to see is the the stock has NOT violated the .05 level on the downside.  This is very important and a key consideration for this penny stock in my opinion.

Why?

Because breaking down below .05 would show that sellers have enough strength to break the recent trading range and destroy the changes of a continuation uptrend.

Today was a key reversal in terms of the daily candlestick and could be a sign that KATX wants now to trade back to the top of the recent range which would be the .09 level.  That is the most important near term consideration for this penny stock.  If it can get to .09 again then it may have a chance for a successful breakout above the .09 level because usually stocks succeed on their breakout attempts with the third try.

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There may be a lot to like about Wanderport Corp. WDRP trades on the pinksheets and according to pinksheets.com:

WanderPort Corporation is a publicly traded company specializing in the development, marketing and distribution of Eco-Friendly Technology and solutions. The company’s main focus is the preservation of clean fresh water as well as the reduction and elimination of fossil fuel uses. WanderPort owns the global exclusive manufacturing and distribution rights to an Eco-Friendly Pulsar Tankless Water Heater Solution.

A lot of penny stocks these days seem to like the green energy sector.  So what does the chart say?

The chart of WDRP caught my eye because it has a roughly 2 year base and has had decent volume in the the last few months.  Liquidity does not seem to be too much of a problem with it right now.

In addition Wanderport Corp. is currently trading above its 50 day moving average, a good sign and also above its 200 day moving average, another good sign.  A golden cross occurred (50 day moving average crossing above 200 day moving average) near March 10th, 2010 and tells me that the bulls seem to have a shot at pushing this one higher.

The most recent daily candlestick on WDRP looks like a hanging man candlestick and could be a sign of another decline this week.  But if it can ignore that candlestick and move higher that would be quite a bullish event in my opinion.

Also the overall chart has a general tendency towards a large cup and handle pattern.  This stock could have measurement implications towards 6.5 cents.  This is only a rough estimation at this point.

The chart is also showing a general symmetrical triangle formation that is coiling up for a big move.

The volume contraction within the large triangle is consistent with this pattern and if a breakout does occur, it will be important to see a dramatic increase in volume out of this pattern.

The penny stock rating for this stock is 2.

KATX or Kat Exploration looks like a nicely performing stock chart.  It has had an unbelievable run since .005 and amazingly could possible run even higher as long as key support levels are not violated.

It is all too rare to see a penny stock perform in a clean fashion with a clear uptrend like some big board stocks.  And yet KATX seems to be doing just that.

The condition right now is for KATX to continue to get nice price reactions and support off of the .05 level.  If KATX can maintain its composure above .05 and then eventually get above .07 again, it could be ready for another big run.

It is also interesting that the gold price at this point still looks constructive.  As far as the GLD ETF I am waiting and looking for full price bar action above the 114 level for gold to get another massive up leg going.  It really needs to get above those levels for confirmation of new uptrend.

If that happens, then we could be setting up for another parabolic type move in the gold price and that could potentially help KATX to get another leg higher going.

But for now, first things first.  KATX must hold .05 and perhaps build a bit more sideways cause.  Lets see how well it behaves in the weeks ahead…

You know I don’t post on this site that often.  I hope to change that at some point.  But what I have found over time is that good penny stock setups do not occur that often.  So for me to post a penny stock a day on this site would most certainly be a disservice to all.

So I am not quite sure how I will go about posting new content on pennystockspennystocks dot com yet.  Perhaps I will post penny stocks that fall in the ‘watching category’ which will probably be about 99% of them and then once in a while I will post penny stocks that move into the ‘high alert’ category.

The fact is that most penny stocks and penny stocks setups are horrible.  But perhaps one tenth of a percent of the penny stocks out there at any given time are SUPERB setups.  And the superb setups do not come around that often.  Image if you could jump into just 4 or 5 total penny stock setups for the WHOLE YEAR and each of them were huge runners.  Wouldn’t you rather do that instead of throwing good money after 100’s of bad?

PGCR Placer gold corp which I previously profiled on this site some time ago was one of those superb setups.  It had a BEAUTIFUL technical analysis backdrop which I described clearly in those posts.  It was extremely powerful.  The best penny stock setups have clear parameters which make them superb candidates for big runs and sometimes sustained runs.

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You can click on the chart of PGCR above to see it full size (note please ignore the x axis monthly dates because they are incorrect, the price is correct but the dates are wrong. It is the only way I could get the data in my charting program).  I still like the way PGCR is trading so far.  It continues to trade sideways now near the longer term triple bottom support area. 

I continue to believe that PGCR could be close to a spike rally north.  If I am wrong then I think the best alternative is to see PGCR trade sideways for a longer period of time. The 13 day moving average has still not crossed above the 50 day moving average but it is awfully close.  Volume has really dried up as of late, but is that surprising in August? 

If PGCR is able to keep trading sideways without breaking below .002 then to me it would be a bullish longer term development because the stock could be building a big base and longer term cause for the eventual move up.  But it is imperative that PGCR is able to hold .002 .  Perhaps the best shot PGCR has for a repeat type super spike rally is the October to January 2009 time frame.  Rest assured I will post here when I see important new developments.

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The penny stock Placer Gold Corp (PGCR) which trades on the pinksheets forms a chart that is worth studying in my opinion.  The chart you see above (click on it to make it full size) is a longer term 2 year daily price chart of PGCR. 

It is worth studying because in my opinion there are some well defined parameters that make for clear cost benefit analysis.  Many penny stock charts that I look at are not so clear.  Typically there is a lot of congestion, noise, lack of price data, and just general confusion in the price chart. Or the price movement has wide swings all over the place and it is difficult to define clear trends or parameters that are worth acting on.

Reason 1

But with PGCR I want to tell you about a few important observations I have made.  For starters, I see long term support at the .002 level.  The .002 level is a significant level and a level that PGCR must hold in order for me to remain open to bullish possibilities.

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